Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.942194 1.154505 1.382006 1.641773 1.928129 2.232295 2.577973
2024-10-20 0.623261 0.898191 1.218304 1.609249 2.065351 2.573227 3.174404
2024-10-27 0.531911 0.851772 1.243767 1.741101 2.339011 3.020717 3.843530
2024-11-03 0.455625 0.807826 1.260452 1.854162 2.586078 3.436652 4.479122
2024-11-10 0.398996 0.776377 1.282047 1.964027 2.821891 3.833817 5.088648
2024-11-17 0.353154 0.751166 1.305467 2.071594 3.052070 4.223134 5.689341
2024-11-24 0.295747 0.698412 1.284222 2.115636 3.199071 4.509764 6.166811
2024-12-01 0.237642 0.633666 1.238478 2.121231 3.293042 4.728924 6.561712
2024-12-08 0.173783 0.545295 1.148727 2.059455 3.294494 4.829866 6.810570
2024-12-15 0.123354 0.467640 1.065547 1.999145 3.291896 4.921295 7.044331
2024-12-22 0.088628 0.410249 1.006638 1.967323 3.322328 5.050620 7.321648
2024-12-29 0.069699 0.381985 0.991756 1.997003 3.433845 5.282020 7.725008
2025-01-05 0.048438 0.341559 0.956071 2.000032 3.517439 5.489725 8.115766
2025-01-12 0.029174 0.294352 0.902492 1.972660 3.557959 5.642490 8.440134
2025-01-19 0.027760 0.306627 0.959580 2.117546 3.839921 6.110271 9.162406
2025-01-26 0.025135 0.313127 1.005538 2.245418 4.098969 6.549633 9.850946
2025-02-02 0.022412 0.317882 1.047845 2.367712 4.350755 6.980471 10.530151
2025-02-09 0.019834 0.321938 1.088570 2.487760 4.600066 7.409151 11.208203
2025-02-16 0.013949 0.305212 1.085740 2.536709 4.747570 7.703785 11.716457
2025-02-23 0.007875 0.277962 1.057935 2.542952 4.832545 7.915104 12.118425
2025-03-02 0.002347 0.233803 0.987406 2.474199 4.805924 7.975966 12.326465
2025-03-09 0.000204 0.194791 0.920773 2.407002 4.777959 8.032385 12.526702
2025-03-16 NaN 0.167069 0.874928 2.371509 4.793555 8.144613 12.796166